Friday, October 17, 2008

KLRvu Research: How'd They Do?

From Alan Bruinooge's gang; the first test of their methodology, 5 days out from election day:

WINNIPEG, Oct. 9 /CNW/ - In another Klrvu Research sponsored poll done on
October 8th, it turns out Gloria Kovach Conservative Candidate has reversed the trendline seen in a poll done by the same company taken in August, immediately before the by-election was supposed to happen.

Kovach is now at 29.94% support with the Liberal Frank Valeriote coming in at 27.63% - which is a significant shift from previous support levels which pegged Kovach trailing by roughly 10%.

'I would suggest that the by-election was able to take on a life of its own in the dog days of summer and allowed the Liberals to run a strong local campaign that seemingly kept their numbers at historic levels. As we have seen in the past, a federal election can usurp the issues that may have been influencing a by-election. I would suggest Gloria has benefited from running a better second campaign, the national campaign simply occurring, and from the growth of the Green party. The Green and NDP have risen considerably and taken support directly from Valeriote,' said Allan Bruinooge.

What happened:




Not too shabby, though not quite right.
Note that, as Buckets pointed out in the comments to my last post on these guys, they pretty much tagged the Green Party's impressive and unlikely performance in the riding.

1 comment:

RossK said...

Interesting.

One of the things that I am starting to notice is that it is not the late polls you have to watch but rather the early ones if you suspect somebody is trying to push a little bit o' Big Mo' around.

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